Why summer nap in overseas markets?
Article from the 【Background】
the first half of the domestic stock market, such as cooking oil fire, overseas stock indexes also rose steadily, but recently,UGG bailey button, overseas stock index has shown a National Bureau of Statistics released economic data, the second quarter of China's rapid economic recovery. However, the market has not produced a strong positive response to this. the Shanghai index hit a new high of 3221 points after the high-diving show late trend of small cities rose stocks fell more than . Analysts believe that although the economy has improved, but the acceleration lending asset bubble caused by the impact of the macro-control is the deployment of monetary policy may be fine-tuning. Since then prices can rise, you also need the support of micro-entities of profit recovery.
This year, A-share market rose nearly 75% to nearly 40 times the level of earnings, close to the upper limit of the central valuation of A shares.
first half of the overseas stock market has been rising. from mid-March, as the global economy and the business community shows signs of stability, the market mood and excited to promote the stock market soared.
However, since mid-June, stock markets around the world (except for China's A share market) have both been falling trend.
spread the stock market saying: statistical jargon, this means reducing portfolio risk. When all the fund managers are doing so, a huge amount of market risk appetite can be suppressed down at once, and can drive the market down.
come from the current situation Look, this sentence seems very reasonable to mm summer, the stock market lessened. Well, the end of a bear market rally really do this?
is likely to continue until August. Today, a second wave of fall or bear market rally, but in early 2010, when the interest-rate hikes expected flooding the market, central banks race to raise interest rates when the current bear market rally ends.
Xie explained that the rapid growth of money supply, inflation will eventually evolve into, it will be the first commodity prices through the forms. The cost of living adjustment of people, increasing the pressure,Discount UGG boots, will push wage inflation. This operation mode will spiral all the excess money supply is transformed into inflation. When the prospect becomes more obvious when, perhaps in early 2010, a drastic increase in interest rates is expected to flood the market. and the next 18 months, the Fed will raise interest rates by 300 basis points. other central banks will raise interest rates, although it may be less than the Fed rate. High interest rates in the stock market will hit a vision of beauty was gone,bailey UGG boots, and then coming to an end growth is likely to appear in the second half of this year, in September, economic data are likely to significantly improved. The advanced economies experienced a 6% after four quarters of decline, in the second half will also be showing a 1% -1.5 % growth.
Xie said the growth prospects for this year may make a good financial markets flowing again. When people have used to deposit a greater power, other than bank deposits to find investment channels, which is why the transferred into the stock market.
this part of the New forces will lead to market low interest rate environment in the emergence of a small peak mm such a high level of enthusiasm may make quite a strong rebound in the second round, the stock market and commodity markets may recover even more than its high point in spring.
However, to date, due to adjustment of the inventory cycle, the improvement of economic data are mostly In the production side, the final demand still no significant improvement in the data. At the same time,UGGs, because of the lack of leverage-driven increase in labor productivity growth rate must lower. However, the Inflation tends to occur before the more.
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