Residential real estate prices this year will be obvious inflection point, the long-term regulation of real estate price bubble to the outstanding issues will be history. The interests of the majority of the people involved in the future real estate prices will show a steady growth trend will gradually fade out real estate investment goods market.
2011 beginning of this year, with the new Control measures in increasing, the future involves the interests of the majority of people will show a steady growth of commercial housing price trends, real estate investment goods will gradually fade out the market, housing prices will gradually return to the general trend and regional economic growth, disposable income increase the state match, rental income rose to more than one-year deposit interest rates.
2011, the residential real estate prices will clear inflection point, the long-term regulation of real estate price bubble to the outstanding problems will be history. Based on the following three judgments:
new measures to directly block the entry of speculative and investment funds
the purchase of new regulatory policies that have become all the most lethal measures directly blocking the entry of speculative and investment funds, in the absence of alternative policies to find the new measures, the restriction order is not canceled. Entered after 2011, further tightening of regulatory policy, there are two aspects.
First, Shanghai, Chongqing pilot the introduction of property tax, property tax pilot finally settled. Expected, the pilot reform of property tax in one year may be expanded to Beijing, Guangzhou, Shenzhen and other cities in 5 years will generally open in major cities. Property taxes can achieve the original intention of rising housing prices, as the two cities after the publication program of one of the most talked about.
analysis to determine from all walks of life to see, real estate tax can not be suppressed once the high prices, but also to curb real estate, lower investment income expectations. As the scope of the actual property tax levy coverage of the pilot how much charge can ultimately be successful in full, how much impact on prices, so that housing consumption return to reason, all to be seen.
because the effect of the concrete implementation of property tax levy is also involved in supporting the policy effects and, in some large cities, due to a large number of current and potential demand for housing, so property taxes will result in costs to rent and other buyers also need to improve the type of observation. But no matter what, Chongqing and Shanghai pilot property tax reform has a strong role model. Speculative buyers across the country, especially in real estate speculators have a lot of warning.
second is the introduction of the new Such as loans to buy second homes in the family, down payment of not less than 60% of the interest rate of not less than 1.1 times the benchmark rate. Prices are too high, rising rapidly, the city, in a period of time to develop and implement strict measures for the purchase of housing, which is limited to purchase orders. As of Feb. 5, according to limiting the purchase to be the city had reached 36.
estimated according to the relevant departments, in accordance with the requirements of the new policy, from the current market situation, the country implemented the purchase of policies within the city is likely to reach 60. This direct market intervention may bring some side effects. Although the policy in the market a bit clumsy and simple, whether scientific and rational, would distort the market allocation of housing resources Putting aside, for now look at various policy measures, the purchase of speculative and investment in order for the suppression of the work.
because of the policies directly limit the number of speculative and investment funds to enter, reflect the real estate from all over the situation, the policy led directly to the sharp contraction in trading volume and short-term zero turnover, while a variety of needs limited, especially for the purchase of multi-suite above, inhibit investment and speculative demand immediate results. So, after failing to find a more effective regulation and control policy, the restriction will not be so easily removed.
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